IB

IB Predicted Grades: How They Work for University Applications

Tutopiya Team
• 8 min read

What are predicted grades?

Predicted grades are teachers’ estimates of the grade a candidate is expected to achieve in each subject, TOK and the EE. They are based on coursework, tests and the teacher’s knowledge of IB standards.

When are they used?

  • University applications—many universities use predicted grades for offers (especially UK, Canada, Australia)
  • IB submission—schools submit predictions to the IB before exams
  • Early offers—conditional offers often depend on meeting predicted grades in final exams

How are they decided?

Teachers use:

  • Classwork and homework
  • Internal assessments and mock exams
  • Progress over time
  • Knowledge of IB grade descriptors

The IB expects predictions to be accurate—neither systematically high nor low.

Important points

  • Predictions are estimates, not guarantees
  • Universities may set conditions (e.g. “36 points with 6,6,6 at HL”)
  • Final grades can be higher or lower than predicted
  • Over-prediction can lead to rejected applications; under-prediction can limit choices

For parents and students

  • Discuss progress with teachers
  • Use mocks and IAs as indicators
  • Apply to a range of universities (reach, match, safety)
  • Focus on improving weak areas

How Tutopiya helps

Tutopiya supports IB revision and exam preparation. Explore IB resources or book a free trial.


Source: IB Assessment

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