Three policy approaches
Switch, reduce, or boost competitiveness.
Three policy categories to correct a current account deficit:
1. Expenditure switching. Shift demand from imports to domestic goods.
| Policy | How it works |
|---|---|
| Devaluation / depreciation | Imports more expensive; exports cheaper for foreigners |
| Tariffs / quotas | Raise import prices; switch demand to domestic |
| Subsidies | Make domestic goods cheaper than imports |
| Internal devaluation | Cut domestic wages and prices (for eurozone members without own currency) |
Trade-offs:
- Depreciation raises inflation.
- Protection invites retaliation, breaches WTO rules.
- Internal devaluation is recessionary (Greece 2010-12).
2. Expenditure reducing. Cut overall spending β less imported demand.
| Policy | How it works |
|---|---|
| Contractionary fiscal policy | Higher taxes, lower G β AD down β imports fall |
| Contractionary monetary policy | Higher rates β less borrowing/spending β imports fall |
Trade-offs:
- Recession, unemployment.
- Hurts growth.
- Politically difficult.
3. Supply-side policies. Improve competitiveness β make exports more attractive.
| Policy | How it works |
|---|---|
| Education and training | Higher labour productivity β cheaper unit labour costs |
| R&D subsidies | Innovation β better products β exports rise |
| Infrastructure investment | Lower business costs β exports rise |
| Labour market reform | Flexible wages β unit costs adjust |
| Industrial policy | Strategic support for export industries |
Trade-offs:
- LONG lags.
- Fiscal cost.
- Risk of picking wrong winners.
Combining policies. Realistic correction often needs ALL THREE:
- Short-run: expenditure reducing or switching to stabilise immediately.
- Medium-run: supply-side to build sustainable competitiveness.
Real-world example. UK 2008-2016 had sterling depreciation (switching), some fiscal tightening (reducing), and weak productivity growth β current account deficit narrowed only modestly.
IMF prescriptions for crisis countries often involve fiscal austerity, currency depreciation (if not fixed), and structural reforms β controversial because of social and political costs.
- Switching: depreciation, tariffs, subsidies, internal devaluation.
- Reducing: contractionary fiscal/monetary.
- Supply-side: education, R&D, infrastructure.
- Combination often needed.