Domestic barriers
Internal constraints.
Poverty trap (low-income equilibrium). Self-reinforcing cycle:
- Low income β low savings.
- Low savings β low investment.
- Low investment β low capital, low productivity.
- Low productivity β low income.
Country stuck in low-income equilibrium. Breaking out requires either:
- External funding (aid, FDI, remittances).
- A 'big push' of coordinated investment.
- Discovery of natural resources (mixed blessing).
Low capital accumulation. Insufficient physical capital (factories, infrastructure, machinery) and human capital (education, training, health) β low productivity.
Weak institutions.
- Corruption wastes resources, distorts incentives.
- Weak property rights discourage investment.
- Poor rule of law raises transaction costs.
- Political instability deters long-term planning.
Acemoglu and Robinson (Why Nations Fail, 2012) argue institutions are the FUNDAMENTAL driver of development.
Geography.
- Tropical climate historically linked to disease burden (malaria) and poor agriculture.
- Landlocked countries face high transport costs (e.g. Chad, Central African Republic).
- Resource curse (paradox of plenty): commodity-rich countries often less developed due to volatile prices, Dutch disease (currency overvaluation hurts other sectors), conflict over resources, elite capture.
Demographics.
- High birth rates β strained schools, healthcare, jobs.
- "Youth bulge" can be opportunity (demographic dividend) or instability if jobs aren't created.
- Ageing populations β pension/healthcare strain (Japan, parts of Europe).
Gender inequality.
- Many low-income countries restrict women's education and employment.
- Excluding half the population from economic activity reduces potential output dramatically.
- Educating girls is one of the most effective development interventions known.
External debt. High interest payments drain government revenue. Many developing countries had debt crises in the 1980s (HIPC initiative provided relief). Modern concerns include Chinese lending and debt sustainability.
Conflict and fragility. War destroys infrastructure, displaces population, halts investment. Post-conflict reconstruction is essential for development.
- Poverty trap = self-reinforcing low income.
- Low capital, weak institutions, harsh geography.
- Demographics + gender inequality.
- Debt and conflict compound problems.