BoP structure
Three accounts that sum to zero.
Balance of Payments (BoP) = systematic record of ALL economic transactions between residents of a country and the rest of the world over a period (typically a year).
Recorded using DOUBLE-ENTRY bookkeeping: every transaction has a debit and credit, so BoP balances by accounting identity.
Three accounts:
1. Current Account. Trade in goods and services + income:
- Trade in goods (visible trade): exports β imports.
- Trade in services (invisible trade): tourism, banking, education, IP licensing.
- Primary income: wages from abroad, investment income (interest, dividends, profits).
- Secondary income (transfers): foreign aid, remittances, EU budget contributions.
A country can have a current account SURPLUS (Germany, China, Japan historically) or DEFICIT (USA, UK).
2. Capital Account. Relatively small in most countries:
- Debt forgiveness.
- Capital transfers (e.g. one-off government grants).
- Sales/purchases of non-produced assets (patents, copyrights, brands).
3. Financial Account. Cross-border investment flows:
- Foreign Direct Investment (FDI): building factories, acquiring companies abroad (10%+ ownership stake).
- Portfolio investment: buying foreign stocks, bonds (passive).
- Other investment: bank lending, deposits.
- Reserve changes: central bank foreign reserves change.
BoP identity: Current Account + Capital Account + Financial Account = 0 (allowing for statistical discrepancy).
Implication. A current account DEFICIT is FINANCED by capital/financial INFLOWS β foreigners buy the country's assets (bonds, stocks, property). A surplus is the reverse.
Worked example. USA runs ~$1 trillion current account deficit annually. This is financed by:
- Foreigners buying US Treasuries.
- Foreign FDI into US.
- Foreign portfolio investment in US stocks.
This works as long as foreigners are WILLING to hold US assets. If confidence falls, problems emerge (sudden stops, sterling crisis 1976).
- BoP = all foreign transactions.
- 3 accounts: current, capital, financial.
- Identity: sum = 0.
- Current deficit funded by financial inflows.