Petrograd on the eve of revolution (early February 1917)
By mid-February 1917 Petrograd was in multiple simultaneous crises — bread shortages, severe cold, accelerating strikes, political deadlock — ready to explode into revolution.
Russia in early 1917. By January-February 1917 the Tsarist regime was in terminal crisis (Topic 11.3). After 30 months of war:
- ~1.7 million Russian dead, ~3 million wounded, ~2.5 million POWs.
- Inflation ~400% since 1914; real wages ~30% below 1914.
- Bread queues in Petrograd, Moscow and other major cities.
- Severe winter 1916-17: -26°C in some weeks; fuel shortages.
- Ministerial leapfrog continuing: Alexander Protopopov (Rasputin's choice) was Interior Minister; Prince Nikolai Golitsyn was Prime Minister.
- Tsar at Stavka Mogilev, ~1,000 km from Petrograd.
- Empress Alexandra governing under continuing Rasputin-style influence (despite his murder December 1916).
- Duma alienated: even Octobrists hostile after Progressive Bloc rejection.
Petrograd specifically. The Russian capital was the centre of the crisis:
- Population ~2.4 million by early 1917 (swollen by refugees from the lost western territories).
- 400,000+ industrial workers — concentrated in the Putilov Works, the Vyborg district, and other heavy-industry zones.
- ~200,000 soldiers in the Petrograd garrison — mostly reservists, recently conscripted, including many older men and former workers who sympathised with the strikers.
- Bread crisis by mid-February: rations cut to 1 lb (450g) per person per day; queues from 4 a.m.; many returning home empty-handed.
- Strike activity: ~1.2 million strikers in January-February 1917 alone; Putilov Works the centre of unrest.
The Putilov strike (18-22 February). The immediate trigger of the February Revolution was a strike at the Putilov Works — Russia's largest factory:
- 18 February 1917 (OS): a section of Putilov workers went on strike over the dismissal of fellow workers and pay issues.
- By 21 February: management threatened to lock out the entire workforce (~30,000 workers).
- 22 February: the lockout was carried out; ~30,000 Putilov workers were on the streets demanding to be re-hired.
The Putilov workers became the shock-troops of the early revolution: militant, well-organised, with revolutionary experience, and now (since 22 Feb) on the streets with no work to return to.
Nicholas II's response: leaving for Stavka. On the morning of 22 February 1917 (OS), the day before the revolution began, Nicholas II left Petrograd by train for Stavka Mogilev. His ministers and the British Ambassador had warned him to remain in the capital; he insisted on returning to army HQ for what he considered routine military business. His departure from Petrograd at the critical moment would prove disastrous: when the revolution began the next day, the Tsar was not in the capital to manage it.
Empress Alexandra was left in Petrograd with her sick children (four had measles in February 1917); she was politically isolated and her advice to ministers was increasingly erratic.
Government complacency. The regime's response to the worsening crisis in Petrograd was complacent:
- Interior Minister Protopopov assured the Tsar that he had the situation under control.
- Police reinforcements had been planned but not fully implemented.
- Plans existed for military repression but the regime's faith in its own troops was misplaced.
- The Tsar received soothing reports from Petrograd while Stavka focused on military planning.
Public mood: tinder waiting for a spark. Petrograd in mid-February 1917 was in a mood that historians have compared to a tinderbox:
- Food queues were becoming political schools — women exchanged complaints about the regime.
- Strikes were spreading.
- Locked-out Putilov workers were on the streets.
- Soldiers in the garrison were grumbling.
- Petrograd society was openly contemptuous of the regime, the Empress, and the recently-dead Rasputin's legacy.
- Rumours of impending revolution circulated; Duma deputies discussed scenarios.
The day before: 22 February. On 22 February 1917 (OS / 7 March NS) — the day before what became 'Day One' of the revolution — the following had happened:
- Nicholas II had left Petrograd for Stavka.
- The Putilov lockout had been confirmed.
- ~30,000 Putilov workers were on the streets.
- Various other factories were on strike.
- Bread queues continued.
- Plans were being made for International Women's Day demonstrations the next day.
The next day — Thursday 23 February 1917 (OS) / 8 March 1917 (NS) — would be International Women's Day. The Bolshevik organisation in Petrograd (small, badly organised) had advised against major demonstrations, fearing they were premature. The women textile workers ignored the advice and struck anyway.
The February Revolution was about to begin — and it would be driven not by parties but by women, workers, and (within days) soldiers.
- Russia in Jan-Feb 1917: ~1.7m military dead, ~400% inflation, ministerial leapfrog continuing (Protopopov, Golitsyn), Tsar at Stavka Mogilev.
- Petrograd: ~2.4m population (refugee-swollen); ~400,000 workers; ~200,000 soldiers in garrison; -26°C winter; bread rations cut to 1 lb/day.
- Putilov strike trigger (18-22 Feb): lockout 22 Feb left ~30,000 workers on the streets — shock-troops of early revolution.
- 22 February (OS): Nicholas II left Petrograd for Stavka Mogilev against warnings — not in capital when revolution began.
- Government complacency: Protopopov assured Tsar of control; regime had plans for repression but faith in own troops misplaced.