A cash-flow forecast is a prediction of the cash a business expects to flow in and out over future periods (usually monthly). It is a planning tool: it warns managers in advance when cash will run short so they can act early — arrange an overdraft, delay a purchase or chase debtors.
The forecast is built from four running lines:
- Cash inflows (receipts) — cash actually received: cash sales, cash from credit customers (debtors) paying up, loans received, capital injected, asset sales.
- Cash outflows (payments) — cash actually paid out: raw materials, wages, rent, utilities, loan repayments, purchase of equipment, tax.
- Net cash flow = total inflows − total outflows for the month. It is positive (a surplus) or negative (a deficit).
- Opening balance = the cash the business starts the month with. Closing balance = opening balance + net cash flow. Crucially, this month's closing balance becomes next month's opening balance — the balance carries forward.
Worked mini-forecast — Kiran's Kites (a seasonal retailer), opening January with $5,000:
| ($) | January | February | March |
|---|
| Cash inflows (receipts) | 20,000 | 18,000 | 30,000 |
| Cash outflows (payments) | 24,000 | 22,000 | 25,000 |
| Net cash flow | (4,000) | (4,000) | 5,000 |
| Opening balance | 5,000 | 1,000 | (3,000) |
| Closing balance | 1,000 | (3,000) | 2,000 |
Read it: January net cash flow = 20,000 − 24,000 = −4,000, so closing = 5,000 + (−4,000) = 1,000. February opens with that 1,000, another −4,000 pushes the closing to −3,000 (shown in brackets = overdrawn). March's strong receipts recover the balance to +2,000. Brackets ( ) conventionally mean a negative figure.
The forecast instantly flags February as the danger month: the business is overdrawn by $3,000 and needs a solution before then.