Income, market size and growth — can the country buy?
Income levels and the size and growth of the market decide whether there is enough affordable demand to sell into.
When assessing a country as a market, the first question is whether there is enough affordable demand.
- Levels of income — a country's GDP per capita and, more precisely, its consumers' disposable income (income after tax available to spend) determine whether they can afford the product. A luxury car brand needs a market with high disposable income; a low-cost mobile-money app can thrive in a lower-income country.
- Size of the market — a large population and a large economy mean more potential customers. A firm can achieve high sales volumes and spread fixed costs over a bigger base.
- Growth of the market — a fast-growing economy with rising incomes (typical of many emerging markets) means demand will expand over time, so early entry captures future growth, not just today's sales.
- The right income segment — even in a lower-income country, a growing middle class can be a large, attractive segment for the firm's product.
Putting it together. The ideal market is large, growing, and able to afford the product. A country with high income but a tiny population may be too small; a huge population with very low incomes may not afford the product unless it is priced and adapted for that market.
- Income (GDP per capita, disposable income) shows if consumers can afford the product.
- A large population/economy means more potential customers.
- A fast-growing, emerging market means demand rises over time.
- A growing middle class can be an attractive segment even in a lower-income country.
- The ideal market is large, growing and able to afford the product.
See the full worked example for assessment of a country as a market →