The 'Great Turn' and Stalin's aims (1928)
Start with the AIMS, because they control every judgement about success. Stalin's economics was driven as much by politics and security as by economic growth.
Begin with the AIM, because it decides how you judge every later outcome. In 1928 Stalin abandoned the New Economic Policy (NEP) — the partly market-based system that had allowed peasants to sell grain for profit — and launched the 'Great Turn': a sudden, top-down drive to collectivise agriculture and industrialise the USSR at extraordinary speed. He did not want a gentle, market-led recovery. He wanted a transformation that served four linked aims.
Security from invasion
- Stalin believed the USSR was surrounded by hostile capitalist powers and could be attacked at any time. In 1931 he warned that the USSR was fifty to a hundred years behind the advanced countries and must close the gap in ten years 'or we shall be crushed'.
- Only a powerful heavy industry — steel, coal, machinery — could build the tanks, guns and factories needed to survive a future war.
Self-sufficiency (autarky)
- Stalin wanted the USSR to be economically independent, able to supply its own needs without relying on imports from capitalist countries that might cut the USSR off in a crisis.
Building a fully socialist economy
- NEP had tolerated private trade and a class of better-off peasants, which Stalin saw as a betrayal of socialism. Collectivisation and state planning would abolish private profit and create a genuinely socialist economy controlled by the state.
Enhancing Stalin's control
- The 'Great Turn' was also a political weapon. Collectivisation gave the state direct control of the countryside and of grain supplies, and breaking the peasantry weakened a group that could resist the regime. The drive also helped Stalin defeat rivals (Bukharin and the Right, who defended NEP) and stamp his authority on the Party.
- AIM first: security from invasion, self-sufficiency (autarky), a fully socialist economy, and Stalin's personal control — not gentle market growth.
- The 'Great Turn' (1928) ended NEP and replaced market mechanisms with forced collectivisation and state-planned industrialisation.
- Stalin's 1931 warning ('we are fifty to a hundred years behind … or we shall be crushed') captures the security motive.
- Heavy industry was prioritised because it built the means to fight a future war.
- Collectivisation gave the state control of grain and of the countryside — an economic and a POLITICAL aim at once.