The shape of a storm hydrograph — its lag time, the steepness of the rising limb and the height of the peak — depends on how quickly and in what volume rainwater reaches the channel. This is controlled both by the physical characteristics of the basin (rock, soil, slope, drainage density, shape, vegetation and land use) and by the climate (the type, intensity, duration and timing of precipitation, temperature and antecedent moisture). This essay assesses their relative importance and argues that physical characteristics set the basin's underlying tendency to be flashy or subdued, but that climate, especially rainfall intensity and antecedent moisture, determines the response to any individual storm — so neither acts alone.
The physical characteristics are powerful controls. Impermeable rock such as granite or clay prevents percolation, forcing rain to run off as overland flow, the fastest route to the channel, which shortens the lag and raises the peak; permeable, porous rock such as chalk stores water as groundwater and releases it slowly as baseflow, producing a subdued hydrograph with a long lag. Soil texture works the same way: a clay soil has a low infiltration capacity and sheds water, whereas a deep sandy soil absorbs it. Steep slopes speed runoff, a high drainage density delivers water quickly to many channels, and a circular basin concentrates flow from all points at the outlet at the same time, producing a sharp peak. Land use is decisive here too: urbanisation replaces permeable soil with impermeable tarmac and adds drains that route water rapidly to the river, while forest intercepts and transpires water, reducing and delaying the peak. These characteristics are relatively permanent, so they give a basin a consistent character — the River Wye on impermeable uplands is naturally flashier than a chalk stream on the South Downs.
A worked example shows their force: when parts of a basin are urbanised, the storm hydrograph for the same rainfall develops a shorter lag and higher peak than before, because the physical surface has been changed. This strongly supports the view that physical characteristics determine hydrograph shape.
However, the same basin produces very different hydrographs from one storm to the next, which only climate can explain. A short, intense convective downpour exceeds the infiltration capacity and generates Hortonian overland flow, producing a flashy peak; the same total rainfall spread gently over two days largely infiltrates and produces a subdued response. Antecedent moisture is especially important: if the basin is already saturated from earlier rain, its stores cannot absorb more, so saturation-excess overland flow begins almost at once, giving a short lag and high peak — whereas the identical storm on a dry basin would be partly soaked up. Snowmelt adds a further climatic control, releasing a large input when temperatures rise in spring. Because the physical characteristics are fixed, it must be these climatic variables that explain why one storm floods and another does not.
The most accurate assessment is that the two operate at different scales and interact. The physical characteristics set the basin's baseline sensitivity — they decide how flashy it CAN be — while climate provides the trigger and determines the response to each specific event. Crucially, they reinforce one another: intense rain on an already-saturated, impermeable, urbanised, steep basin produces the most extreme peak, because every control is pushing the same way; the same rain on a permeable, forested, dry basin is buffered.
In conclusion, physical characteristics do not, on their own, determine the shape of a storm hydrograph. They establish the basin's underlying tendency, but it is climate — above all rainfall intensity and antecedent moisture — that determines the response to any particular storm. The shape of a real hydrograph is therefore the product of the two interacting, and assigning primacy to either in isolation oversimplifies a system in which the controls combine.