Market research produces data that businesses use to make decisions, but the value of that data depends on how reliable it is and how it is interpreted. How far a firm can trust its research data depends on how it was collected, what type of data it is, and how it is analysed.
The case that the data can be trusted. Well-collected data is a sound basis for decisions. A large, representative sample chosen by a sound method (random or stratified) reflects the whole population, so its quantitative findings — percentages, averages, sales figures — give an accurate, comparable picture of the market. Combined with qualitative data explaining why customers feel as they do, the firm gets both the scale of an issue and its causes. Data from credible, independent sources that is up to date can reasonably be trusted as a guide to decisions, and is far better than relying on guesswork.
The case that trust should be limited. First, data is only as good as its sample: a small or biased sample (3.2.3) produces unreliable results, and a precise-looking figure does not guarantee accuracy. Second, data can be out of date in a fast-changing market, so past patterns may not hold. Third, interpretation can mislead — charts with misleading scales exaggerate differences, and assuming correlation proves causation can lead a firm to act on a false cause. Fourth, respondents may say one thing and do another, so stated views overstate real behaviour. For all these reasons, data should never be treated as certain.
Weighing it up (criterion). How far data can be trusted depends on the quality of the sample and source, how recent the data is, and how carefully it is interpreted. High-quality, current data from a credible source, interpreted with care, can be trusted a great deal; small, biased, dated or carelessly-read data can be trusted little.
Judgement. A business can trust its research data to a significant extent, but only when it is well-collected and carefully interpreted. The most defensible conclusion is that data should be trusted in proportion to its quality: a large, representative, current sample from a credible source — read with attention to scales, sample size and the correlation-causation trap — is a strong basis for decisions, while poor or carelessly-interpreted data should be treated with caution and supported by further evidence. So research data is a powerful but imperfect aid: it improves decisions when it is reliable and well-analysed, but it never removes the need for judgement, and over-trusting weak data is a serious risk.