Recruitment and selection determine who joins a business, so they shape the quality of its workforce. They are clearly important to success, but whether success depends on them more than on other factors is open to debate.
The case that success depends heavily on recruitment and selection. Getting the right people is the foundation of performance. Effective recruitment attracts strong applicants, and effective selection — using job descriptions, person specifications and a combination of methods — ensures the firm appoints capable, well-matched staff. This raises productivity, quality and customer service, while poor recruitment leads to mis-hires that lower performance, increase labour turnover and waste training. For a service or knowledge-based business, where the workforce is central to what it sells, the quality of recruitment and selection can be decisive. A poor appointment to a senior role can damage the whole firm.
The case that other factors matter more. First, recruitment is only the start: even excellent hires must then be trained, motivated and retained, so HRM as a whole — not just hiring — drives results. Second, success depends on factors outside HR entirely: the product, marketing, finance and operations. A firm with brilliant staff but a product no one wants will still fail. Third, external factors (the economy, competition, regulation) can outweigh the quality of the workforce. Fourth, a good induction, leadership and culture can develop average recruits into strong performers, reducing reliance on perfect selection.
Weighing it up (criterion). How far success depends on recruitment and selection depends on how people-dependent the business is and how skilled its roles are. For firms where skilled people are the competitive advantage (consultancies, hospitals, software houses), it is a major determinant of success. For capital-intensive firms, or where the product or finance is the binding constraint, it matters less.
Judgement. Recruitment and selection are a significant determinant of success — but not the only or always the most important one. They are most decisive for people-dependent, skill-intensive firms, where the right hires create lasting competitive advantage. Even there, however, recruitment must be supported by training, motivation and retention, and by a viable product, sound finance and effective operations. The most defensible conclusion is that good recruitment and selection are necessary for success but not sufficient on their own — they set the workforce's potential, but realising it depends on the rest of HRM and the wider business.